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Zero and In Between

obama_zero-centsWhen the Presidential election falls in the years ending in zero, the press comes alive and finds what to print.  But the press has de-generated into the drive-by media and all they have done in recent times is Bush-bashing and Oh Oh Oh-Obama worshiping.  So the zero years when the Presidential election is not being waged draws no attention.  It’s an in-between zero.  They like to call it an off-year election.  This time though everything is ON; nothing is off in this off-year.

With this upcoming year, 2010, that they are starting to talk about, this particular year could portend the end of the Alinsky-socialist agenda.  Ask yourself WHY is everything so necessary NOW?  Why must everything be pushed through EARLY?  Why can’t we wait?  It has to be now; a compressed period of time, squeezed into the here and now.  Why can’t it be taken care of LATER? In 2010.  The element of time is out of joint.  Hamlet said so: “The time is out of joint.  Oh cursed spite that ever I was born to set it right.”

acorn_logoIf all major legislation is done now, what is left to do later; later brings us closer to the next election period.  Why is it that NOW the group called ACORN is changing their name to Community Organizations INTERNATIONAL?  If they received money, substantial money, from this administration and up to now they have made their presence known in cities across America, why are they going INTERNATIONAL?  With money they received here in America?  Did I mention that they received substantial money, tax dollar money, that’s the only type of money the government gets, tax payer money to fund their operations?

The elections in 2010 concern the Congress and the Senate and the Governors.  Basically this year, 2009, is a dull election year: only 2 big Governorships – New Jersey and Virginia.  Hardly worth paying attention to.

But let’s take a look at past zero and in between election years when the Presidential election is not being waged.  Looking at 100 years, there would be 5, only 5 elections that were not presidential elections:

1910 – Taft was the President (Republican) – Wilson won in 1912 (Democrat)1930 – Hoover was the President (Republican) – Roosevelt won in 1932 (Democrat).

1950 – Truman was the President (Democrat) – Eisenhower won in 1952.
(Republican)1970 – Nixon was the President (Republican) – He won again in 1972.

1990 – George H.W. Bush was the President (Republican) -Clinton won in 1992 (Democrat).  That was Bill Clinton; but Hillary said you get 2 for the price of 1, so Bill and Hillary Clinton won in 1992.

Well, here come the numbers and how things shaped up. The closing on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (my favorite point of reference):

12-31-1909 99.05

12-31-1910 81.36     Down 17.9%. Taft wanted to be on the Supreme Court, he reluctantly got into the presidential race and he wound up a one term president.  He eventually got to be the Chief Justice and he loved it; he lost weight and was happy.  A one term president.

12-31-1929 248.48

12-31-1930 164.58     Down 33.8%. You might have been looking for a chicken in every pot, but there was none to be found.  This was the big crash.  Hoover, who had been the Secretary of Commerce and knew business inside out, faced the worst economic times.  The Great Depression.  Only when the stock market learned who the nominee was from the Democrats in 1932 did it start to come up from its lowest levels.  If only he had started to build that Hoover Dam six months EARLIER, he could of been re-elected.  Getting people back to work; developing energy supplies, Americans working, American manufacturing. But Hoover started too late with all that.  So he was a one term president.

12-31-1949 200.13

12-30-1950 235.41     Up 17.6%. First time the percentage is up in the study.  It really was Truman’s SECOND term in office.  Roosevelt won in the election of 1944; his fourth time and the first time Truman was running as his Vice President.  Roosevelt died in April of 1945 and the one election that Truman needed to win gave him close to 8 years in office.  So a change in parties came about in 1952; everybody liked Eisenhower, the motto was I LIKE IKE.  Time for a change from 4 successful Roosevelt campaigns and 1 successful Truman campaign.

12-31-1969 800.36

12-31-1970 838.92     Up 4.8%. Nixon had won in 1968, but Humphrey had really already lost at the Chicago convention that nominated him.  Riots. Police.  All on television.  Humphrey was trying and trying and the pollsters would say that if only he had 2 more weeks of campaigning he could have overcome Nixon.  Nixon won again in 1972, but he was out by August 1974.  Nixon said the press won’t have Nixon to kick around anymore.  Even way back then, the press did not hide their bias.  The press said the Republican Party, the GOP, the Grand Old Party, would NEVER recover.  They said it and they repeated it.  How little they knew then, how little they know now.

12-29-1989 2753.20

12-31-1990 2633.66     Down 04.3%. George Herbert Walker Bush was inevitable.  Desert Storm was successful; his poll numbers were sky high, and he was inevitable to win again.  Ross Perot who also was in the election of 1992 said that Arkansas didn’t matter; it was an insignificant state.  Inevitable or not, Clinton became the next president.  George H.W. Bush, another one term president.

And so what we need to watch is where the market closes in 2009, who wins in November 2009, how the economy moves in 2010, who wins in November 2010 and where the market closes in 2010.  That’s a tall order with many variables.  If the economy doesn’t improve; if unemployment stays high, if housing prices stay down, if inflation rises, and most of all, if people are discontent, then you will be able to forecast the election of 2012.

When you see that from 2009 to 2010 the stock market is still in the doldrums, when the numbers point down, when you don’t know when there is a turn around – then you’ll know you have a one-term president.

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  1. caiusmartius says

    I hereby nominate Cheryl to be the official Comptroller of The Right Perspective!

  2. Johann says

    I second the motion!!

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