While many fear the worst from the emerging split of the ANC, opposition groups see it as hope that true democracy will finally come to South Africa in the form of a legitimate rival to the country’s one-party rule.
“We are moving away from the current configuration with one single dominant party and a fragmented opposition,” Democratic Alliance leader Helen Zille said in an address to the South African Business Club in London on October 2nd. “The dominant party is beginning to fracture and the opposition is beginning to coalesce around common core values.”
Zille also said there is a “distinct possibility” that the DA will win power the Western Cape province, either on its own or in a coalition government in next year’s general election. “This task will be made easier if the ANC splits before the next election, but this development is not a foregone conclusion,” she said. “But whether there is a breakaway now or not, one thing is certain: the ANC’s divisions will deepen in the years ahead and its disintegration, from a position of almost complete hegemony for the past 14 years, has begun”.
Others, such as pundit Jan Lamprecht, believe a fracturing of the ANC will actually mean a decline in power for the DA, as black supporters may likely join the break-away party. “In my view the DA is about to be replaced as the official opposition. I can’t see blacks in their masses ever voting for the DA. I do agree with the assessment that the split is cause for hope,” write Lamprecht.
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